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I will begin this post by assuming that all of us, including you, have been wrong at some stage in your lives. The title of this post is more asking whether you have ever been spectacularly wrong. Perhaps on some issue of technology, a prediction in politics, or some factual matter where you have come unstuck after further information was revealed.
I am going to reveal something towards the end of this post, something on which I have been spectacularly wrong. Not just a little bit wrong, but a matter on which I could not have been more wrong. Suffice to say, it was so wrong, that even the weatherman couldn’t believe it.
Before I do though, I thought I would highlight a few other more public (and perhaps apocryphal) quotes where it appears CEOs of large American companies have been spectacularly wrong about some new technology:
1. “Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?” said by H. M. Warner of Warner Bros. in 1927 about the possibility of moving on from silent movies.
2. “I think there is a world market for maybe five computers” said by Thomas Watson the chairman of IBM in 1943.
3. “Television won’t be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night” said by Darryl Zanuck of 20th Century Fox in 1946.
4. “No one will need more than 637 Kb of memory for a personal computer – 640K ought to be enough for anybody” said by Bill Gates, Microsoft CEO in 1981.
So now that I have got those out of the way what was the quote that I said? What was my prediction that proved so spectacularly wrong?
In 2009 I wrote this blog post when a new television show came out. It expressed my disbelief at how such a show could ever make it. It was based on the fact that I found the show boring, and that this particular show had almost no viewer participation, and no similarity to previous shows in that style.
Mexican designer Eddi Aguirre imagines Barbara Millicent Roberts aka Barbie, without all the make-up that makes her look so pretty.
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I think Ali from Something this Foggy Day would like this (or at least the crochet part of it).
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